SPECIAL ANALYTIC REPORT (Sanitized)

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The document is a special analytic report from the United States Army Intelligence and Threat Analysis Center. It forwards the evaluation of Grill Flame Special Analytic Report Information that was provided by an unconfirmed source. The report suggests that the information has a high degree of correlation with other sources and recommends its use to fill an intelligence gap. The document also mentions that the GOB Task Force is updating the ground order of battle and will include the information provided in the update. It provides instructions to analysts on how to evaluate the information, highlighting that it may consist of a mixture of correct and incorrect elements. Overall, the document emphasizes the potential utility of the information provided and the need for caution in its evaluation.

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Body:  SG1A
 SG1A
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 SUBJECT:  Special Analytic Report
 Approved For Release 2003/0       I - DP96-00788R000400060004-9
 DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY
 UNITED STATES ARMY INTELLIGENCE AND THREAT ANALYSIS CENTER
 ARLINGTON HALL STATION
 ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA 22212
 SG1A
 Chief, Special Research Division
 Room B5E32, NSA FANX III
 Fort Meade, MD  20755
 4 December 1980
 TO:       Commander
 US Army Intelligence and Threat Analysis Center
 Arlington Hall Station
 Arlington, VA  22212
 1.  (S)   The attached report forwards the evaluation of Grill Flame Special
 Analytic Report Information,                     The information which was
 provided on target size, type, and mission has a high degree of correlation
 with other sources of information.  While there is no confirming data of the
 target's location, I believe the source to be accurate and recommend that
 the information be used to fill a known intelligence gap.
 2.  (S)  The                                GOB  Task Force is updating the
 ground order of battle for                                        This update
 will be published as a supplement to the       G   project.   onsidering the
 reliability of the information provided b     e Special Actions Office,
 ADCSOPS, INSCOM, the results of                      will be included in the
 supplement.  Use of this information will be an intelligence community
 "first."
 3.  (U)  I recommend that this evaluation be forwarded to LTC Watt, Chief,
 Special Actions, ADCSOPS, INSCOM.
 ~~,J 140,
 1 Incl                                                                               PAUL S. FEYEFIEISEN
 as                                                                                   MA
 C,       GOB Task Force
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 A
 CLASSIFIED BY --- (-I bl.) L_l T& L -------------
 --------------------------------
 ReJ k,(n----------------r
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 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS
 IAOPS-H-S
 SUBJECT:  Special Analytic Report Information (U)
 REPORT REQUIREMENT
 2 December 1980
 1.  (U)  The information provided as enclosure to this report was obtained in
 response to a collection requirement provided by your office.  The information
 is from an unconfirmed source; therefore, caution is warranted in its use.
 This office has been tasked by the Commanding General, Intelligence and Security
 Command, to evaluate and comment on the operational value of the information
 provided, as well as to ascertain the accuracy of the source.
 2.  (U)  In order to comply with this directive, request the information provided
 as an enclosure be evaluated and comments be provided this office no later than
 This should be accomplished by responding to questions pro-
 vided within Section III of this report.
 3.
 (U)
 Section II contains special instructions for the analysts.
 SG1A 4.
 (U)
 Project Number:
 0
 5.
 (U)
 Requestor:  SRD, ITAC, INSCOM.
 6.
 (S)
 Source Number: 08/46.
 7.
 (S)
 Interrogator Number: 14.
 8.
 (S)
 Date Information was Obtained: 4 Sep 80.           Times: FM---/TO:---
 9
 (S)
 Specific information provided by the requestor in support of required        A
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 sour
 ce
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 10.  (U)  Specific information provided to the interrogator to aid in source
 targeting was:  same as #9.
 11.  (U)  Specific information provided to the source for target orientation was:
 same as #9.
 CLASSIFIED BY: Msg, HQDA(DAMI-ISH)
 Dated: 051630ZJUL78
 REVIEW ON: 2 Dec 2000
 14
 NOT RET+FA   LET F     G NATIONALS
 Approved For Relapa                   DP96-00788R000400060004-9
 Approved For Release 2B3i6,tO6! CIA-   P96-00788R000400060004-9
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 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS
 SG1
 12.  (U)  Specific information requested by analyst:
 13.  (U)  Date information forwarded:
 14.  (U)  Has additional data been requested:  no.
 15.  (U)  Priority:  URGENT     ROUTINE
 16.  (S)  Remarks:  Source 08/46 conducted two sessions on 4 Sep 80.  This
 evaluation is based on information provided by source in both sessions.  The
 targe                   was addressed in both sessions.
 INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS
 1.  (U)   The material you have been given to review has been acquired from a new
 and potentially valuable source of intelligence.  Work is currently being con-
 ducted on how to improve the accuracy and reliability of the data.  Your atten-
 tion to the evaluation sheet and your remarks will be the basis for our assessment
 of this new collection technique.  Therefore, the effort you expend will greatly
 assist us and will ultimately result in you receiving more information of increas-
 ing accuracy and reliability.
 2.  (U)  While formulating your judgements concerning the information provided, the
 following comments concerning this new source of intelligence may be helpful.
 Foremost, the information is likely to consist of a mixture of correct and in-
 correct elements.  Specifically:
 a.  (S)  The descriptive elements are generally of higher reliability than
 judgements or labels  as to what is being described (recreational swimming pool
 may be mistaken for water purification pools, an aircraft hull may be mistaken
 for a submarine hull, etc.).  Therefore, seemingly appropriate descriptive elements
 should not be rejected because of mislabeling.
 b.  (5)  The data often contains gaps (in a 3-building complex, for example,
 perhaps only two of the buildings may be described, and an airfield may be added
 that isn't there).  Such gaps or additions should not be taken to mean that the
 rest of the data is necessarily inaccurate.
 3.  (S)  Therefore, a recommended approach is to first examine the entire information
 packet to obtain an overall flavor of the response, reserving final judgement even
 in the face of certain errors, and then go back through for a more detailed analysis.
 4.  (U)  If you have questions regarding the data you have received, or its evaluation
 please contact this office (IAOPS-H-S) at any time.
 Approved For Release 0             -   X96-00788R000400060004-9
 mn,r uFTXA   r' : 'f .     Gl NA,TIO1 A
 Approved For Release                       -  788R000400060004-9
 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS
 SECTION III
 TARGET EVALUATION
 1.  (U)  For the summary evaluation, please check the following boxes as to the
 ACCURACY* of the submitted material.
 a.  (S)  Geographical locale des-
 cription (terrain, water, etc.)
 b.  (S)  Large-scale manmade
 elements (cities, buildings, silos,
 docks, railroad lines, airfields, etc.)
 c.  (S)  Small-scale manmade
 elements (antennas, computers, tanks,
 missiles, offices, etc.)
 d.  (S)  General target ambience
 (research, production, administration,
 storage, troop movements, naval
 activity, air activity, weapons testing,
 etc.)
 e.  (S)  Relevant specific
 activities (nuclear testing, missile
 firing, CBW storage, ELINT monitoring,
 etc.)
 f.  (S)  Personality (physical des-
 criptions, actions, responsibilities,
 plans, etc.)
 2.  (S)  Overall Utility:  NONE    MARGINAL     USEFUL       VERY USEFUL  X
 CANNOT BE DETERMINED
 NOT E:  ITAC provided the following comments.
 3
 *Definitions for the accuracy scale are as follows:
 O=Little correspondence (self-explanatory)
 1=Mixed results (mix of correct and incorrect elements, but enough of the former to
 indicate source did collect against target.)
 2=Good (Good correspondence with several elements matching, some incorrect information.)
 3=Excellent (Good correspondence with unambiguous unique matchable elements and rela-
 L-L          pr61 eCTiVX=RN ila p~.~~                             0400060004-9
 UNK=Unno
 3     N/A
 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOF.EIGN NAT 10
 AL
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