SUMMARY OF INFORMATION

CIA-STARGATE

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Summary: This document is a working paper from the CIA, discussing the situation in Iraq and the Gulf War. It states that President Bush will not launch an attack on Iraq and that Saddam Hussein will not make any immediate political or military moves. However, there is a possibility of a break in the situation in the next couple of days due to Hussein agreeing to some formal talks. It also mentions that Hussein will not withdraw from Kuwait and the old regime will not return to power. Additionally, the document highlights that Saudi Arabia's oil wells are targeted if a war were to occur, and mentions that the Shell Oil Company in eastern Saudi Arabia is vulnerable to terrorist attacks. Finally, the document suggests that the Yemens may pose a future threat to United States interests.

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Body:  Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001002010001-7
 adWdQ"VNOFORN
 WORKING PAPER
 90104-A
 910116
 V:   079
 SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
 -        President Bush will continue to wait ,the intense
 situation out.     He will not launch an attack on Iraq.
 Huessin will not move politically or militarily in the
 very near future.
 There will be some type of break in the situation in the
 t
 ype
 next couple of days due to Huessin agreeing to some
 of formal talks.
 At this time, Huessin will not back out of
 Kuwait.
 Also, the old regime of Kuwait will not return
 to power.
 Huessin has Saudia Arabia's oil wells targeted if a war
 should occur.
 Shell Oil Company located in eastern'Saudi Arabia is a
 high vulnerability point for a terrorist attack.
 -     The Yemens may be a source of trouble for United States
 interests in the near future.
 Jl-r/NOFORN
 CLASSIFIED BY:   DIA (DT)
 DECLASSIFY ON:   OADR
 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001002010001-7