SUMMARY OF INFORMATION: VIEWER: 018, SESSION: 01
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Summary: This document is a referral review by NIMA/DoD, discussing indicators that may precede an attack by Iraqi forces against US and allied forces. The document outlines several perceived indicators, including Hussein being alerted about upcoming rainstorms in the south (where US and allied forces are located), an east-to-west movement of Iraqi heavy equipment in northern Kuwait, and specific actions taken by Hussein and the Iraqi forces before launching the first stage of the attack. The document also mentions the presence of two special weapons possessed by the Iraqis, one of which affects mechanical devices and causes loss of missile guidance while the other is believed to be a buried particle-beam weapon. The document includes a map with specific points referenced in the discussion.
Text
Body: Referral Review by NIMA/DoD
Approved For Release 2003/05/15 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001000020001-8
Project:
91004-A
Date:
910115
Time:
2 1 30-2245
910116
0330-0500
Viewer:
018
Session:
01
Monitor:
None
TASKING: "Show indicators which will preceed an attack of Iraqi forces
against US and allied forces. Indicate location of attack."
1. There was a strong impression that there will not be a premptive strike
on US and allied forces. Further- tasking myself with "indicators, if so",
the following indicators were perceived:
a. Hussein is alerted that there is a weather prediction of strong
rainstorms to the south (where US and allied forces are located) but not in
the north (where Iraqi forces are located). These storms are approximately
3-5 days away.
b. An east--to--west movement of Iraqi heavy equipment occurs in
northern Kuwait (see attached map, point A).
c. Within a 1-3 day period:
1) Hussein appears on Iraqi TV with a stately woman who is
wearing black (or dark charcoal) clothing.
2) An announcement is made (possibly as a result of the meeting
with the woman), that there is a "stand-down".
Almost immediately (within hours) after the announcement of the
"stand-down", and less than 1 day before the heavy rains come, the first
stage of an attack is launched.
a. The first stage of the attack is with missiles and artillery.
This is timed to allow the US and allied troups to get spread out across
the desert just as the heavy rains begin.
b. Hussein's front line troups and equipment stay in place, without
advancing.
c. US & allied planes begin to attack Iraq, and find that there are
weapons in Hussein's arsenals which can make planes and missiles "drop like
rocks".
d. Once the US troups are spread out in the desert and stalled by
Approved For Release 2003/05/15 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001000020001-8
Approved For Release 2003/05/15 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001000020001-8
rain, Iraqi forces in Kuwait attack toward the southwest (see point B on
asap), heading across the desert, rather than down the coast, thinking that
they want to keep the war "on their own kind of turf". This is a mistake
on their part.
3. There were strong impressions that the Iraqis have at least two very
special. weapons.
a. One, mentioned above, "locks up" up mechanical devices. It
causes loss of missile guidance, and planes "freeze" up and "drop like
rocks from the sky". For some reason, this weapon does not work as well
against ground Croups.
b. Another special weapon is presently buried in the sand (btb
somewhere in northern Kuwait: point C on map), and can be brought out for
use. It gave strong impressions of being some kind of a particle-beam
weapon.
Approved For Release 2003/05/15 : CIA-RDP96-00789R001000020001-8
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